What About the "What Ifs"?

Given the ongoing turmoil in the housing and financial markets, many people who want to buy homes are sitting on the fence, either waiting for the market to bottom out or fearing that it never will. So what is the chance that the market will continue to decline, prices will continue to drop and a home purchased today will be worth less a year from now?
Of course, no one can know for sure what will happen a month, six months, or a year from now. Housing is predictably cyclical, but the current housing slump has already lasted longer than previous downturns. Moreover, timing the market is a strategy that rarely works; by the time it's clear that a market has turned around, it's too late to take advantage of the conditions at the bottom.
Fortunately, San Antonio has not been affected like so many other areas that we are hearing about. And we should not be basing our decisions on markets that are suffering a great deal more than we are. According to the 2008 and 2009 Multiple Listing Service (MLS) report by the San Antonio Board of Realtors (SABOR), at the end of November 2008, there were 949 pending sales. A month later, the numbers were up -- with a total of 996 pending sales. In January 2009, the numbers were up again -- 12 percent from the December figures -- with a total of 1,112 pending sales.
For most Americans, homeownership is a primary source of net worth and an important step in accumulating personal wealth assuring financial security. Today, even though property values have declined in some markets, Americans have a total of $8.5 trillion in equity in their homes. Home equity represents the largest share of net worth for most families.
It is time to buy! Get off the fence!

--Fred Elsner, President/CEO Bridle Bit Corporation and president, Greater San Antonio Builders Association.